{"id":70570,"date":"2017-09-14T06:20:27","date_gmt":"2017-09-14T13:20:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=70570"},"modified":"2018-05-23T05:12:15","modified_gmt":"2018-05-23T12:12:15","slug":"emini-all-time-high-awaiting-fomc-interest-rate-announcement","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/market-update\/emini-all-time-high-awaiting-fomc-interest-rate-announcement\/","title":{"rendered":"Emini all-time high, awaiting FOMC interest rate announcement <br \/>Intraday market update: September 14, 2017"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Emini all-time high, awaiting FOMC interest rate announcement<\/h2>\n<p class=\"caption\">Updated 6:55 a.m.<\/p>\n<p>The Emini opened near yesterday&#8217;s low, and with consecutive bear bars. This makes a bull trend day unlikely. In addition, after 3 bull days, each getting weaker, today will probably be a trading range day or a small bear day. Another bull day is unlikely after a a 3 day rally that is getting weaker. There is support around the lows of the past 2 days and the gap below Tuesday&#8217;s low. This is also around the 60 minute moving average.<\/p>\n<p>The bulls want an opening reversal up from below yesterday&#8217;s low and then a rally to above yesterday&#8217;s high. Even if they get their outside up day, the odds are against today being a strong bull day. The bears want a strong break below support. Yet, after 3 decent bull days, this is unlikely. The odds favor a trading range day. <\/p>\n<p>Since the Emini is near support, it will probably turn up within an hour or two. However, a 2 &#8211; 3 hour rally will probably be a bull leg in a trading range day. If it falls to the 60 minute moving average over the 1st hour, the selloff will probably be a bear leg in a trading range day. As is usually  the case, when a trading range day is likely, the Emini often goes sideways for an hour or more as it decides on the direction of the 1st leg in the trading range.<\/p>\n<h2>Pre-Open market analysis<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT PREMARKET ANALYSIS --><br \/>\nThe Emini again was in a trading range yesterday, as it was for most of the past 3 days. It might continue sideways into next week&#8217;s FOMC announcement. Yet, the bears will scale into shorts at new all-time highs on the daily chart. This is because the 7  month rally has been in a broad channel. In addition, the bulls prefer to buy pullbacks than breakouts.<\/p>\n<h3>Overnight Emini Globex trading<\/h3>\n<p><!-- INSERT OVERNIGHT EMINI GLOBEX TRADING --><br \/>\nThe Emini is down 7 points in the  Globex market. Three consecutive bull trend days is a lot in a bull channel. Therefore the odds are that today will not be a bull trend day. Furthermore, the rally has been getting weaker over the past 3 days. This makes a bull trend day unlikely today. Consequently, today will probably be either a bear day or a trading range day.<\/p>\n<h2>Yesterday&#8217;s setups<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT YESTERDAY'S CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ES-4.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ES-4-600x341.png\" alt=\"Emini new all-time high and tight trading range\" width=\"600\" height=\"341\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-70620\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ES-4-600x341.png 600w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ES-4-300x170.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ES-4-768x436.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ES-4.png 1899w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are several reasonable stop entry setups from yesterday. I sometimes also show limit order entries and entries on the close of bars.<\/p>\n<p><!--  EURUSD FOREX MARKET TRADING STRATEGIES  --><\/p>\n<h2>EURUSD Forex market trading strategies<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT FOREX CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/EC-5.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/EC-5-600x340.png\" alt=\"EURUSD Forex wedge top at 1.2000\" width=\"600\" height=\"340\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-70628\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/EC-5-600x340.png 600w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/EC-5-300x170.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/EC-5-768x436.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/EC-5.png 1897w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">The EURUSD daily Forex chart is turning down from a wedge top. Since it is near a higher low and the moving average, it is at support.<br \/>\nYet, a wedge reversal typically has 2 legs down and therefore bears will sell the 1st rally.<\/p>\n<p><!-- INSERT PREMARKET FOREX ANALYSIS --><br \/>\nThe EURUSD daily Forex chart is turning down from a wedge top. In addition, it is at the resistance of the 1.2000 Big Round Number, and the bottom of a trading range on the monthly chart. Furthermore, it is at a measured move up on the daily chart. The selloff over the past week is a sign that the wedge top is likely to achieve its minimum goal of 2 legs down. Because the 1st leg down is unfolding, the odds are that traders will sell any 2 &#8211; 5 day rally.<\/p>\n<p>This is because they expect the 1st reversal back up to fail and lead to a 2nd leg down. A reasonable target for the bears is the bottom of the wedge, which is the August 17 low. If it gets there, the bulls will try to rally from a double bottom with that low. However, the bears will continue to sell rallies, hoping for a strong break below the wedge bottom. They would then look for a measured move down to the next support. That is at the top of the 2 year trading range. This is around 1.1600. In addition, it is about a 50% pullback from this year&#8217;s rally.<\/p>\n<p>Because the bull channel on the daily chart is tight, the odds are that even a 400 pip selloff to 1.1600 will simply be a bear leg in what will probably be a big trading range. However, after several months in a range, the bears will have a chance to create a credible major top. Consequently, the downside risk over the next several months is a big trading range, and not a bear trend.<\/p>\n<h3>Overnight EURUSD Forex trading<\/h3>\n<p><!-- INSERT OVERNIGHT EURUSD FOREX TRADING --><br \/>\nThe EURUSD 5 minute chart sold off over the past 30 minutes, but bounced 30 pips. It is testing the support of the August 31 low, which is the bottom of a 3 week trading range. Furthermore, the 1st leg down has lasted 5 bars on the daily chart. That is enough bars in a wedge this size to be at or near the end of the 1st leg down. Consequently, traders will look for the market to stabilize for a few days, and then rally for a few days. Therefore, the bulls will start to buy selloffs, expecting a 100 &#8211; 150 pip rally at some point over the next week. <\/p>\n<p>Traders might wait for next week&#8217;s FOMC report to get the rally. In any case, because the bears have a reasonable 1st leg down and the selloff is at support, they will take profits and look to sell a 100 &#8211; 150 pip rally. This is because they expect a lower high and then a 2nd leg down.<\/p>\n<p>Since both the bears and the bulls expect the selloff to evolve into a trading range and then a 150 pip rally, both will buy selloffs and sell rallies for a few days. The bears will buy back shorts below lows and the buys will sell out of longs above highs. The result will probably be a trading range for a few days.<br \/>\n<!--  SUMMARY OF TODAY'S EMINI PRICE ACTION  --><\/p>\n<h2>Summary of today&#8217;s S&amp;P Emini futures price action and what to expect tomorrow<\/h2>\n<p><!-- EOD CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ES-5.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ES-5-600x339.png\" alt=\"The Emini had an outside up day to a new alltime high, but was a small trading range day.\" width=\"600\" height=\"339\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-70637\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ES-5-600x339.png 600w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ES-5-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ES-5-768x434.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ES-5.png 1903w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">The Emini formed a small outside up day today, but spent most of the time in a tight range.<\/p>\n<p><!-- INSERT EOD COMMENTS --><br \/>\nThe Emini formed its 3rd consecutive small tight trading range day. While it made another all-time high, there was no follow-through buying. It is probably waiting for next week&#8217;s FOMC interest rate announcement before it breaks out up or down.<br \/>\n<!--  FOOTER TEXT AND LINKS  --><\/p>\n<p>See the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">weekly update<\/a> for a discussion of the price action on the weekly candlestick chart and for what to expect going into next week.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p class=\"caption\">Traders can see the end of the day <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/profile.php?mode=profil&amp;sub=profile_prefer&amp;mod=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bar-by-bar price action report by signing up<\/a> for free at BrooksPriceAction.com. I talk about the detailed S&amp;P Emini futures price action real-time throughout the day in the BrooksPriceAction.com <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\">trading room<\/a>. We offer a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2 day free trial<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">When I mention time, it is USA Pacific Standard Time (the Emini day session opens at 6:30 am PST, and closes at 1:15 pm PST). You can read background information on the intraday market reports on the <a title=\"Emini intraday market update\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-update\/\" target=\"_blank\">Intraday Market Update<\/a> page.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Emini all-time high, awaiting FOMC interest rate announcement Updated 6:55 a.m. The Emini opened near yesterday&#8217;s low, and with consecutive bear bars. This makes a bull trend day unlikely. In addition, after 3 bull days, each getting weaker, today will probably be a trading range day or a small bear day. Another bull day is [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"shadow","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[153],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-70570","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-market-update","7":"entry","8":"has-post-thumbnail","9":"override"},"featured_image_src":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"Al","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/albrooks\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70570","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=70570"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70570\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=70570"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=70570"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=70570"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}