{"id":79859,"date":"2018-07-12T06:20:54","date_gmt":"2018-07-12T13:20:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=79859"},"modified":"2018-07-12T22:44:09","modified_gmt":"2018-07-13T05:44:09","slug":"emini-island-top-and-weekly-gap-below","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/market-update\/emini-island-top-and-weekly-gap-below\/","title":{"rendered":"Emini island top and weekly gap below <br \/>Intraday market update: July 12, 2018"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Emini island top and weekly gap below<\/h2>\n<p class=\"caption\">I will update again at the end of the day.<\/p>\n<h2>Pre-Open market analysis<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT PREMARKET ANALYSIS --><br \/>\nBecause the Emini gapped down yesterday after Tuesday&#8217;s gap up, it formed a one day island top. If it were to gap down again today, it would form a 3 day island top. This is not likely because of the Globex rally. In any event, since the Emini is in 6 month trading range, island reversals are usually minor.<\/p>\n<p>Yesterday was the 1st pullback in a 6 bar bull micro channel on the daily chart. It is therefore a High 1 bull flag. But, it has a bear body and there are targets below. This is a weak buy setup.<\/p>\n<p>There is a parabolic wedge top on the 60 minute chart and yesterday was the 1st leg down. Therefore, the Emini will probably pull back more for a day or two. It might test the neck line of the head and shoulders bottom on the 60 minute chart within a week. That target is below 2750.<\/p>\n<p>This week gapped up on the weekly chart. Since at least slightly lower prices are likely after the wedge top on the 60 minute chart, the weekly gap will probably close within 2 weeks.<\/p>\n<h3>Overnight Emini Globex trading<\/h3>\n<p><!-- INSERT OVERNIGHT EMINI GLOBEX TRADING --><br \/>\nThe Emini is up 15 points in the Globex session. It might therefore gap up today. However, yesterday was a bear day and a weak High 1 buy signal bar. In addition, if today gaps up, the gap will be small. Small gaps usually close in the 1st hour or two. Finally, the wedge top on the 60 minute chart is likely to have a 2nd leg down from a lower high. Therefore, the odds are against a big bull trend today.<\/p>\n<p>Yesterday&#8217;s bear trend was weak. While at least a small 2nd leg down is likely on the 60 minute chart, the odds are against a big bear trend today. More likely, yesterday was a Big Down move on the 60 minute chart after a Big Up move. That creates confusion and usually results in a trading range. Therefore, today will probably be another sideways day on the 60 minute chart. This makes a big trend up or down less likely on the 5 minute chart.<\/p>\n<h2>Yesterday&#8217;s setups<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT YESTERDAY'S CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-island-top-and-braod-bear-channel.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-island-top-and-braod-bear-channel-680x382.png\" alt=\"Emini island top and broad bear channel\" width=\"680\" height=\"382\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-79955\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-island-top-and-braod-bear-channel-680x382.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-island-top-and-braod-bear-channel-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-island-top-and-braod-bear-channel-768x431.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-island-top-and-braod-bear-channel.png 1683w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are several reasonable stop entry setups from yesterday. I sometimes also show limit order entries and entries on the close of bars. My goal with these charts is to present an Always In perspective. If a trader was trying to be Always In or nearly Always In a position all day, and he was not in a position at the moment, these entries would be logical times for him to enter.<\/p>\n<p><!--  EURUSD FOREX MARKET TRADING STRATEGIES  --><\/p>\n<h2>EURUSD Forex pullback in bear rally<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT FOREX CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/EURUSD-Forex-pullback-in-bear-rally-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/EURUSD-Forex-pullback-in-bear-rally-1-680x381.png\" alt=\"EURUSD Forex pullback in bear rally\" width=\"680\" height=\"381\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-79960\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/EURUSD-Forex-pullback-in-bear-rally-1-680x381.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/EURUSD-Forex-pullback-in-bear-rally-1-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/EURUSD-Forex-pullback-in-bear-rally-1-768x431.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/EURUSD-Forex-pullback-in-bear-rally-1.png 1689w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">The EURUSD daily Forex chart has sold off for 3 days after a lower high double top with the June 14 high. <\/p>\n<p><!-- INSERT PREMARKET FOREX ANALYSIS --><br \/>\nThe EURUSD daily Forex chart sold off for 3 days from around the EMA and the June 14 high. But, the selloff so far lacks consecutive big bear bars. In addition, it is around a 50% pullback from the June 9 rally. Finally, the June 14 sell climax high is a strong magnet. Therefore, the selloff will more likely stall and become a higher low in the 2 month trading range. <\/p>\n<p>The bulls will buy a micro double bottom between 1.1600 and 1.650 over the next week. They will look for a test of the June 14 high at around 1.1850. The odds are that the bear rally will continue up to the May 14 high and 1.2000 over the next couple of months. <\/p>\n<p>The bears will probably need to get to the June 14 sell climax high before they can resume the bear trend. However, if they get 2 closes below the June 21 low, then traders will expect a 300 pip measured down below the 3 month range. <\/p>\n<h3>Overnight EURUSD Forex trading<\/h3>\n<p><!-- INSERT OVERNIGHT EURUSD FOREX TRADING --><br \/>\nThe EURUSD 5 minute Forex chart was in a 20 pip range during the Asia session. The range expanded to 30 pips in Europe. This represents weak follow-through selling after Wednesday&#8217;s bear trend. <\/p>\n<p>Because the daily chart is now around a 50% retracement of the 4 week rally, bulls are beginning to buy. This is the buy zone. There is therefore an increased chance of a bull trend day today or tomorrow. More likely, yesterday&#8217;s selloff created a Big Up, Big Down pattern on the daily chart. That usually results in at least a few sideways days.<\/p>\n<p>It is unlikely that the bear trend is resuming on the daily chart. But, if the bears get 2 &#8211; 3 consecutive big bear days, the 2 month trading might be ending. Traders will swing sell in the unlikely event of a big bear trend day today.<br \/>\n<!--  SUMMARY OF TODAY'S EMINI PRICE ACTION  --><\/p>\n<h2>Summary of today&#8217;s S&amp;P Emini futures price action and what to expect tomorrow<\/h2>\n<p><!-- EOD CHART --><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-tests-of-2800-Big-Round-Number.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-tests-of-2800-Big-Round-Number-680x380.png\" alt=\"Emini tests of 2800 Big Round Number\" width=\"680\" height=\"380\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-79971\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-tests-of-2800-Big-Round-Number-680x380.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-tests-of-2800-Big-Round-Number-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-tests-of-2800-Big-Round-Number-768x430.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-tests-of-2800-Big-Round-Number.png 1686w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are several reasonable stop entry setups for today. I sometimes also show limit order entries and entries on the close of bars. My goal with these charts is to present an Always In perspective. If a trader was trying to be Always In or nearly Always In a position all day, and he was not in a position at the moment, these entries would be logical times for him to enter.<\/p>\n<p><!-- INSERT EOD COMMENTS --><br \/>\nAfter a brief sharp selloff, the Emini rallied in a bull channel to above the 2800 Big Round Number. It then entered a tight trading range. A more important target is the March 13 high of 2811.00. That is the top of the 6 month trading range. If the bulls can rally 10 &#8211; 20 points above it, the rally will likely make a new all-time high.<\/p>\n<p>The bears will try to continue the 6 month range. Even if there is a small breakout above the March 13 high, the bears will sell. Therefore, traders are looking for either a reversal down from this level or a strong breakout above. Either will likely continue for at least a month.<br \/>\n<!--  FOOTER TEXT AND LINKS  --><\/p>\n<p>See the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">weekly update<\/a> for a discussion of the price action on the weekly candlestick chart and for what to expect going into next week.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p class=\"caption\">Traders can see the end of the day <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/profile.php?mode=profil&amp;sub=profile_prefer&amp;mod=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bar-by-bar price action report by signing up<\/a> for free at BrooksPriceAction.com. I talk about the detailed S&amp;P Emini futures price action real-time throughout the day in the BrooksPriceAction.com <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\">trading room<\/a>. We offer a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2 day free trial<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">When I mention time, it is USA Pacific Standard Time (the Emini day session opens at 6:30 am PST, and closes at 1:15 pm PST). You can read background information on the intraday market reports on the <a title=\"Emini intraday market update\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-update\/\" target=\"_blank\">Intraday Market Update<\/a> page.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Emini island top and weekly gap below I will update again at the end of the day. Pre-Open market analysis Because the Emini gapped down yesterday after Tuesday&#8217;s gap up, it formed a one day island top. If it were to gap down again today, it would form a 3 day island top. This is [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"shadow","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[153],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-79859","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-market-update","7":"entry","8":"has-post-thumbnail","9":"override"},"featured_image_src":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"Al","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/albrooks\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79859","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=79859"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79859\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=79859"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=79859"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=79859"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}