{"id":80128,"date":"2018-07-30T06:20:09","date_gmt":"2018-07-30T13:20:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=80128"},"modified":"2018-07-30T13:44:25","modified_gmt":"2018-07-30T20:44:25","slug":"emini-minor-reversal-2800-march-high","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/market-update\/emini-minor-reversal-2800-march-high\/","title":{"rendered":"Emini minor reversal down to below 2800 and the March high<br \/>Intraday market update: Monday July 30, 2018"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Emini minor reversal down to below 2800 and the March high<\/h2>\n<p class=\"caption\">I will update again at the end of the day.<\/p>\n<h2>Pre-Open market analysis<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT PREMARKET ANALYSIS --><br \/>\nThe Emini sold off from above the 2 week bull channel on the 60 minute chart to below the bottom of the channel on Friday. The selling was strong enough to make follow-through selling likely. Over the past week, I have said many times that the odds favor a 50 &#8211; 100 point correction within the next 2 weeks. It is probably underway. <\/p>\n<p>Less likely, this reversal down is a failed breakout above the March high and the start of a move down to the bottom of the 6 month trading range. But, the odds favor buyers coming back below 2800 and down to the beginning of the bull channel at around 2770.<\/p>\n<p>Because Friday was a sell climax, today will probably have at least a couple hours of sideways to up trading starting by the end of the 2nd hour. However, the odds favor a move below 2800 this week. The bears will sell 20 &#8211; 30 point rallies.<\/p>\n<h3>Overnight Emini Globex trading<\/h3>\n<p><!-- INSERT OVERNIGHT EMINI GLOBEX TRADING --><br \/>\nThe Emini is unchanged in the Globex session. Because Friday was a sell climax in a bull trend, day traders expect a lot of trading range trading today. Friday&#8217;s selloff was strong enough Surprise Bar to make a 2nd leg down likely within a couple of weeks. However, this week could retrace half or more of Friday&#8217;s selloff before the 2nd leg down begins.<\/p>\n<p>Whenever there is a big day like Friday, there is an increased chance of more big days. But, because of the sell climax on Friday after Wednesday&#8217;s buy climax, there is confusion. The odds are that the next few days will be smaller and confused. That means that there will be trading range trading before there is a breakout up or down. At the moment, the breakout will more likely be down after a week or two of sideways trading. Yet, the odds are that the bulls will buy the 2nd leg down and the bull trend will continue up to a new high.<\/p>\n<h2>Friday&#8217;s setups<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT Friday's CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-sell-vacuum-test-of-last-weeks-high.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-sell-vacuum-test-of-last-weeks-high-680x380.png\" alt=\"Emini sell vacuum test of last week&#039;s high\" width=\"680\" height=\"380\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-80262\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-sell-vacuum-test-of-last-weeks-high-680x380.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-sell-vacuum-test-of-last-weeks-high-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-sell-vacuum-test-of-last-weeks-high-768x429.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-sell-vacuum-test-of-last-weeks-high.png 1683w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are several reasonable stop entry setups from Friday. I sometimes also show limit order entries and entries on the close of bars. My goal with these charts is to present an Always In perspective. If a trader was trying to be Always In or nearly Always In a position all day, and he was not in a position at the moment, these entries would be logical times for him to enter.<\/p>\n<p><!--  EURUSD FOREX MARKET TRADING STRATEGIES  --><\/p>\n<h2>EURUSD Forex higher low in triangle<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT FOREX CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/EURUSD-Forex-higher-low-in-triangle.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/EURUSD-Forex-higher-low-in-triangle-680x383.png\" alt=\"EURUSD Forex higher low in triangle\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-80325\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/EURUSD-Forex-higher-low-in-triangle-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/EURUSD-Forex-higher-low-in-triangle-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/EURUSD-Forex-higher-low-in-triangle-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/EURUSD-Forex-higher-low-in-triangle.png 1688w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">The EURUSD daily Forex chart had a small reversal up on Friday from a 2 legged pullback. Since the chart is at the apex of a 2 month triangle, a breakout attempt is likely within a couple of weeks.<\/p>\n<p><!-- INSERT PREMARKET FOREX ANALYSIS --><br \/>\nThe EURUSD daily Forex chart formed a higher low on Friday after the 3 day July 19 rally. Since the chart is at the apex of a triangle, the legs up and down are lasting only a few days before reversing. <\/p>\n<p>When that happens, there is usually an attempt to break out of the triangle within about 10 bars. On the daily chart, that is 2 weeks. The 1st breakout has a 50% chance of reversing. In addition, when there finally is a successful breakout, there is a 50% chance it will be up or down. Also, traders will look for a measured move based on the 300 pip tall height of the triangle. <\/p>\n<p>Because the triangle is late in a bear trend on the daily chart, if there is a bear breakout, the odds are that triangle will be the final bear flag. Consequently, if the selloff reaches to around the 1.12 measured move target, there would then probably be a reversal back into the triangle within several months. This would then create a larger trading range.<\/p>\n<h3>Overnight EURUSD Forex trading<\/h3>\n<p><!-- INSERT OVERNIGHT EURUSD FOREX TRADING --><br \/>\nThe EURUSD 5 minute Forex chart has rallied 70 pips since Friday&#8217;s low. That is a small rally and therefore day traders are continuing to mostly scalp. The rally retraced about half of last week&#8217;s selloff. There will therefore be sellers here and just above at the 1.1700 Big Round Number. In addition, there will be buyers around the overnight higher low around 1.1650.<\/p>\n<p>Since the daily chart is at the apex of a 2 month triangle, the odds are that there will soon be a breakout attempt. Consequently, while day traders are scalping, they expect a series of trend days soon. Once they begin, the day traders will resume swing trading.<br \/>\n<!--  SUMMARY OF TODAY'S EMINI PRICE ACTION  --><\/p>\n<h2>Summary of today&#8217;s S&amp;P Emini futures price action and what to expect tomorrow<\/h2>\n<p><!-- EOD CHART --><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-sell-climax-and-strong-minor-reversal-up.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-sell-climax-and-strong-minor-reversal-up-680x382.png\" alt=\"Emini sell climax and strong minor reversal up\" width=\"680\" height=\"382\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-80339\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-sell-climax-and-strong-minor-reversal-up-680x382.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-sell-climax-and-strong-minor-reversal-up-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-sell-climax-and-strong-minor-reversal-up-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Emini-sell-climax-and-strong-minor-reversal-up.png 1683w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are several reasonable stop entry setups for today. I sometimes also show limit order entries and entries on the close of bars. My goal with these charts is to present an Always In perspective. If a trader was trying to be Always In or nearly Always In a position all day, and he was not in a position at the moment, these entries would be logical times for him to enter.<\/p>\n<p><!-- INSERT EOD COMMENTS --><br \/>\nThe bears had another Small Pullback Bear Trend today. But, the bulls got a reversal up from the 2800 Big Round Number and the 20 day EMA. The odds favor sideways to up for 2 &#8211; 3 days. However, the 2 day selloff was a Surprise reversal. Therefore, the bears will probably get at least a small 2nd leg sideways to down over the next week or two.<\/p>\n<p>Tomorrow is the last day of the month. The major monthly support is the March high and the June high. Both are around 2800.<br \/>\n<!--  FOOTER TEXT AND LINKS  --><\/p>\n<p>See the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">weekly update<\/a> for a discussion of the price action on the weekly candlestick chart and for what to expect going into next week.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p class=\"caption\">Traders can see the end of the day <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/profile.php?mode=profil&amp;sub=profile_prefer&amp;mod=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bar-by-bar price action report by signing up<\/a> for free at BrooksPriceAction.com. I talk about the detailed S&amp;P Emini futures price action real-time throughout the day in the BrooksPriceAction.com <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\">trading room<\/a>. We offer a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2 day free trial<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">When I mention time, it is USA Pacific Standard Time (the Emini day session opens at 6:30 am PST, and closes at 1:15 pm PST). You can read background information on the intraday market reports on the <a title=\"Emini intraday market update\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-update\/\" target=\"_blank\">Intraday Market Update<\/a> page.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Emini minor reversal down to below 2800 and the March high I will update again at the end of the day. Pre-Open market analysis The Emini sold off from above the 2 week bull channel on the 60 minute chart to below the bottom of the channel on Friday. The selling was strong enough to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"shadow","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[153],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-80128","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-market-update","7":"entry","8":"has-post-thumbnail","9":"override"},"featured_image_src":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"Al","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/albrooks\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80128","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=80128"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80128\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=80128"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=80128"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=80128"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}