{"id":80460,"date":"2018-08-09T06:20:47","date_gmt":"2018-08-09T13:20:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=80460"},"modified":"2018-08-09T13:40:50","modified_gmt":"2018-08-09T20:40:50","slug":"emini-pullback-parabolic-wedge-top-60-minute-chart","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/market-update\/emini-pullback-parabolic-wedge-top-60-minute-chart\/","title":{"rendered":"Emini pullback from parabolic wedge top on 60 minute chart<br \/>Intraday market update: Thursday August 9 2018"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Emini pullback from parabolic wedge top on 60 minute chart<\/h2>\n<p class=\"caption\">I will update again at the end of the day.<\/p>\n<h2>Pre-Open market analysis<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT PREMARKET ANALYSIS --><br \/>\nThe Emini had another trading range day yesterday. Its high was below Tuesday high, and therefore yesterday is a High 1 bull flag. But, yesterday had a bear body and is therefore a weak buy signal bar. <\/p>\n<p>In addition, the 60 minute chart still has a parabolic wedge top at a measured move target. Hence, the odds favor at least a little more pullback before the bull trend resumes. This is true even if today trades above yesterday&#8217;s high.<\/p>\n<p>A major reversal down is unlikely to begin within the next few days. More likely, there will be a test of the all-time high within a few weeks. There is a 30% chance of it coming within a week.<\/p>\n<h3>Overnight Emini Globex trading<\/h3>\n<p><!-- INSERT OVERNIGHT EMINI GLOBEX TRADING --><br \/>\nThe Emini is up 3 points in the Globex market. After the parabolic wedge rally to a measured move target on the 60 minute chart, the odds favor a longer pullback. In addition, the past 2 days were trading range days. That increases the odds for another one today. <\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, Tuesday&#8217;s triangle on the 5 minute chart is a magnet below. Other important magnets below are the 60 minute EMA and the July 25 high, which is a breakout point. All are around the 2850 Big Round Number. Therefore, day traders will look to sell rallies. This is true even if today goes above yesterday&#8217;s high.<\/p>\n<p>Once the pullback reaches that support around 2850, the bulls will begin to look for a reversal up. That could lead to one or more bull trend days and a resumption of the rally up to a new all-time high.<\/p>\n<p>Can the 60 minute parabolic wedge top lead to a bear trend reversal down to last week&#8217;s low at around 2800? Yes, but there is a 70% chance of another leg up to at least a little above Tuesday&#8217;s high 1st.<\/p>\n<h2>Yesterday&#8217;s setups<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT YESTERDAY'S CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-bear-doji-day-after-60-minute-parabolic-wedge-top.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-bear-doji-day-after-60-minute-parabolic-wedge-top-680x382.png\" alt=\"Emini bear doji day after 60 minute parabolic wedge top\" width=\"680\" height=\"382\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-80564\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-bear-doji-day-after-60-minute-parabolic-wedge-top-680x382.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-bear-doji-day-after-60-minute-parabolic-wedge-top-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-bear-doji-day-after-60-minute-parabolic-wedge-top-768x431.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-bear-doji-day-after-60-minute-parabolic-wedge-top.png 1681w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are several reasonable stop entry setups from yesterday. I sometimes also show limit order entries and entries on the close of bars. My goal with these charts is to present an Always In perspective. If a trader was trying to be Always In or nearly Always In a position all day, and he was not in a position at the moment, these entries would be logical times for him to enter.<\/p>\n<p><!--  EURUSD FOREX MARKET TRADING STRATEGIES  --><\/p>\n<h2>EURUSD Forex Low 1 bear flag will probably grow into Low 2<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT FOREX CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/EURUSD-Forex-Low-1-bear-flag-will-probably-grow-into-Low-2.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/EURUSD-Forex-Low-1-bear-flag-will-probably-grow-into-Low-2-680x381.png\" alt=\"EURUSD Forex Low 1 bear flag will probably grow into Low 2\" width=\"680\" height=\"381\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-80573\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/EURUSD-Forex-Low-1-bear-flag-will-probably-grow-into-Low-2-680x381.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/EURUSD-Forex-Low-1-bear-flag-will-probably-grow-into-Low-2-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/EURUSD-Forex-Low-1-bear-flag-will-probably-grow-into-Low-2-768x430.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/EURUSD-Forex-Low-1-bear-flag-will-probably-grow-into-Low-2.png 1691w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">The EURUSD daily Forex chart rallied for 2 days from a double bottom with the June 28 low. However, after 5 bear bars, the bulls will need a micro double bottom. Furthermore, the odds now favor a break below the June low after a micro double top bear flag.<\/p>\n<p><!-- INSERT PREMARKET FOREX ANALYSIS --><br \/>\nThe EURUSD daily Forex chart had 5 consecutive bear trend bars. While they were not big, that is the longest streak up or down in the 3 month trading range. Charts have 2 variables, price and time. Sometimes, time is more important. This selling pressure now makes a bear breakout likely within a couple of weeks. <\/p>\n<p>Yesterday is a Low 1 bear flag, but it was a bull bar and the 5 bear bars were not all big. Therefore, the bears will probably need 2 failed small rally attempts before they can get their breakout. The odds are the daily chart will trade down for a day or two and bounce from a micro double bottom. Then, the bears will try for their breakout after a micro double top (Low 2) bear flag. This means that the daily chart will probably be in a tight range for several more days.<\/p>\n<h3>Overnight EURUSD Forex trading<\/h3>\n<p><!-- INSERT OVERNIGHT EURUSD FOREX TRADING --><br \/>\nThe EURUSD 5 minute Forex chart is in the middle of a 45 pip overnight trading range. In addition, it is probably also in the middle of a 100 pip tall tight trading range that will last several more days. Day traders will look to buy reversals up from below the prior day&#8217;s low and sell reversals down from above the prior day&#8217;s high. In addition, they will trade any small reversal on the 5 minute chart and be quick to take profits. <\/p>\n<p>There is a 60% chance of a bear breakout on the daily chart and a 40% chance of a strong reversal up. Either would require a strong trend on the 5 minute chart. But, neither is likely for at least a few days.<br \/>\n<!--  SUMMARY OF TODAY'S EMINI PRICE ACTION  --><\/p>\n<h2>Summary of today&#8217;s S&amp;P Emini futures price action and what to expect tomorrow<\/h2>\n<p><!-- EOD CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-outside-down-day.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-outside-down-day-680x382.png\" alt=\"Emini outside down day\" width=\"680\" height=\"382\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-80590\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-outside-down-day-680x382.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-outside-down-day-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-outside-down-day-768x431.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-outside-down-day.png 1490w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are several reasonable stop entry setups for today. I sometimes also show limit order entries and entries on the close of bars. My goal with these charts is to present an Always In perspective. If a trader was trying to be Always In or nearly Always In a position all day, and he was not in a position at the moment, these entries would be logical times for him to enter.<\/p>\n<p><!-- INSERT EOD COMMENTS --><br \/>\nThe Emini sold off from above yesterday&#8217;s high, but rallied off the 60 minute EMA. Late in the day, it traded below yesterday&#8217;s low and became an outside down day. There is now a micro double top.<\/p>\n<p>The parabolic wedge rally to resistance on the 60 minute chart will probably limit any rally over the next few days. The odds still favor a test down to Tuesday&#8217;s triangle at around 2850, even if there is a new high 1st.<\/p>\n<p>If tomorrow gaps down, there will be a 3 day island top. This could lead to a deeper pullback, but the odds still favor a new high within a couple of months.<br \/>\n<!--  FOOTER TEXT AND LINKS  --><\/p>\n<p>See the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">weekly update<\/a> for a discussion of the price action on the weekly candlestick chart and for what to expect going into next week.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p class=\"caption\">Traders can see the end of the day <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/profile.php?mode=profil&amp;sub=profile_prefer&amp;mod=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bar-by-bar price action report by signing up<\/a> for free at BrooksPriceAction.com. I talk about the detailed S&amp;P Emini futures price action real-time throughout the day in the BrooksPriceAction.com <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\">trading room<\/a>. We offer a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2 day free trial<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">When I mention time, it is USA Pacific Standard Time (the Emini day session opens at 6:30 am PST, and closes at 1:15 pm PST). You can read background information on the intraday market reports on the <a title=\"Emini intraday market update\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-update\/\" target=\"_blank\">Intraday Market Update<\/a> page.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Emini pullback from parabolic wedge top on 60 minute chart I will update again at the end of the day. Pre-Open market analysis The Emini had another trading range day yesterday. Its high was below Tuesday high, and therefore yesterday is a High 1 bull flag. But, yesterday had a bear body and is therefore [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"shadow","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[153],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-80460","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-market-update","7":"entry","8":"has-post-thumbnail","9":"override"},"featured_image_src":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"Al","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/albrooks\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80460","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=80460"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80460\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=80460"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=80460"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=80460"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}