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There's often questions about how much of previous day's PA to use for next day session analysis. Al says the last hour is often a good indicator of what's to come the next day (unless there's a big gap up/down). Here's a good example (RTH) of a wedge during the last hour of Y influencing the open. If anyone else is keeping track of these please post here so we can build a collection of such examples.
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Another example of prior day's PA influencing the open. Y had a channel and when it broke the expectation was for the market to test start of channel but never got there. Bears tried to do it on the open of next day though. It was acting like a strong magnet.
Is this last hour only or anything prior day
I should hope that it is anything prior day(s). As I understand, Al has mentioned a few times that the markets are fractal. He even mentions in the encyclopedia that a Broad Channel on a 5 minute lasts for days sometimes.
I should hope that it is anything prior day(s). As I understand, Al has mentioned a few times that the markets are fractal. He even mentions in the encyclopedia that a Broad Channel on a 5 minute lasts for days sometimes.
Yes, exactly. Going back any number of days, weeks, months to find prior levels is just standard BPA so that's always going to be in play. But the last hour of Y seems to have added significance being the most recent. For example, if prior day ended in TR and today opens inside it then the market is likely to continue in TR breakout mode testing its highs and lows. If Y closed as small pullback trend into EOD then today is likely to have at least some FT on the open. I believe Al mentioned often buying calls or puts and holding them overnight and exiting on the open the next day as a way to play this.
2020/5/14
Thank you for adding the charts. Would you mind adding comments with the charts too to make it easier to see exactly what to look for? Thanks!
2020/5/21
3 bounces off yesterday's channel lines, then breakout
