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Hi,
How do we go from a 40 % probability of the market moving X units in one direction before X units in other direction, to 40% probability of the market moving two times X units in one direction before moving X units in the other direction (necessary for positive trader's equation)?
Thanks
They are two different probabilities: the first being the probability for an equidistant move and the second the chances that a setup works. We mainly use the latter when trading but the former can help (I personally don't use it). Both probabilities are coincident when you have a high probability setup but differ when the setup is low probability.
Okay,
Thanks Ludopuig for clearing that up.
