Market Overview: Bitcoin
As Q3 2025 wraps up, Bitcoin has traded sideways for most of the quarter, hovering in a tight range. With the new quarter looming, institutional order flow often sparks market swings or halts existing ones—though the prolonged sideways action suggests no prior swing to stop. Strong supports lie below, likely to hold the market longer. On a higher timeframe, buying appears the path of least resistance.
Market Video Report: Bitcoin Futures
Duration 3.5 mins. AI is voicing Josep Capo’s original script.
Weekly Chart
The weekly chart currently prints a bear bar, nestled within a tight, gray-shaded sideways range—you can also call it a tight trading range or a breakout mode pattern. This patterns mean that neither bulls nor bears are in control, and hence, the market is fifty-fifty. Both sides are waiting for the next decisive move—a breakout above or below this gray zone.
Let’s start with the bears, as the price is going downward this week. Not far below, there is the 365-day moving average that serves as a lower trend line since it is trending upwards. There’s the $100,000 level—a once-psychological barrier now respected as a key support, coinciding with the current major higher low. For bears eyeing a breakdown, these supports loom large. A plunge to the zone between $75,000 and $85,000 is their prize, but they’ll need to muscle through these levels first.
On the flip side, the bulls are poised to pounce. They’ve seen reversals from these supports work before and are ready to buy a bounce, targeting a measured move to the $140,000 area based on the prior range’s size. With next week closing both September and Q3, traders are going to be really vigilant, since big institutions often rebalance, hedge, or reposition during this period, sparking major moves—or halting them.
Daily Chart:
Now, let’s zoom into the daily chart. Last week, we noted the price lounging in the middle of a trading range. Bulls who bought the prior bull leg were left frustrated because it delivered a feeble second leg up and bears closed the bull body gaps, forming a double top and wedge top pattern. Monday and Tuesday brought a bear breakout, flipping the market to always in short. The bear leg was robust, signaling a likely second leg down. Savvy traders sold around the breakout’s close, around the follow-through bar close, or above the high of the bear follow through bar. Their goal was at least to capture a small second leg down. Which they did.
However, some traders avoided the short because we’re in a zone where bulls have halted bearish momentum several times in the past, and hence, hint institutions defending this level. Bulls are watching closely now, the have been counting: 1 push down, 2 pushes down, and 3 pushes down, spotting a parabolic wedge bottom, which is within a double bottom zone. They’re ready to jump in if a reversal up shifts the market to always in long. Bears, meanwhile, dream of smashing through this support, flipping it to resistance for short- to medium-term control. But betting on a bear breakout here is tough—better odds await a retest of this zone post-breakout.
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