Trading Update: Thursday April 9, 2026
E-mini end of day video review
S&P E-mini market analysis
E-mini daily chart
- The E-mini yesterday formed a strong upside breakout above the daily moving average.
- Because the bull breakout was fairly large, closing near its high the odds favor the bulls getting a second leg up.
- This is a strong enough bull breakout that the market will likely reach the 6,900 round number and possibly the all-time high.
- The bulls are hopeful that today will form a follow-through bar closing above yesterday’s high.
- Because yesterday’s bull breakout was fairly large and climactic, there is increased risk that the market may have to go sideways for a few days first, before the Bulls can get a second leg up.
- The Bears are hoping that yesterday is an exhaustion bar and a potential second leg trap following the reversal up in early April. However, the Bulls have too many bull bars in the rally since the April low. This increases the odds that any reversal down will likely be minor, leading to a pullback and resumption for the Bulls.
- Overall, the rally above the moving average is strong, and the odds favor a second leg up. This means that traders will likely be hesitant to sell until the bulls have had a clear second leg up after yesterday’s upside breakout.
E-mini 5-minute chart and what to expect today
- Today formed a small gap up on the open and went sideways for the first nine bars, forming a triangle.
- The bears got a downside breakout with bar 10 and a small second leg down to bar 13. While the bears tried to get a successful bear breakout of the triangle to bar 13, it was still inside of a larger triangle in a fairly bullish environment on the higher time frame. This increased the odds that the downside breakouts part of their team was going to fail and that the bulls would get a reversal up, which they did on bars 16 and 17.
- The bulls got a stronger breakout with bars 21 and 22, and at this point, the odds favored a test of the high of bar 1, as well as the high of yesterday.
- As of bar 30, the bulls have had a strong upside breakout above yesterday’s high.
- The bulls are hopeful that today will form a strong follow-through bar, closing far above yesterday’s high.
- While the bulls have done a good job, bar 31 is climactic, and that increases the risk that the market may have to go sideways for the next several bars. This may limit the upside for the next several hours.
- The bulls are hopeful that today will close near its high. The bears want to create a tail above yesterday’s bar. The bears are hopeful that they can prevent the bulls from forming a strong wick at their bar closing on its high.
- The bulls will probably be unable to continue the rally that began at the bar 13 low without making the market go sideways for several bars.
- If the bulls are lucky, the market may go sideways for the next several hours and then, late in the day, get an upside breakout, causing the day to close near its high.
- Overall, because the rally is getting climactic, traders should expect sideways trading in the formation of a trading range for the next couple of hours.
Yesterday’s E-mini setups

Richard created the SP500 E-mini chart.
Here are reasonable stop entry setups from yesterday. Chart shows each buy entry bar with a green arrow and each sell entry bar with a red arrow. Buyers of the Brooks Trading Course have access to a near 4-year library of detailed explanations of swing trade setups (see Online Course/BTC Daily Setups) linked to the Brooks Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns product.
The goal with these charts is to present an Always In perspective. If a trader was trying to be Always In or nearly Always In a position all day, and he was not currently in the market, these entries would be logical times for him to enter. These therefore are swing entries.
It is important to understand that most swing setups do not lead to swing trades. As soon as traders are disappointed, many exit. Those who exit prefer to get out with a small profit (scalp), but often have to exit with a small loss.
If the risk is too big for your account, you should wait for trades with less risk or trade an alternative market like the Micro E-mini.
Summary of today’s S&P E-mini price action

Richard created the SP500 E-mini chart.
See the weekly update for a discussion of the price action on the weekly chart and for what to expect going into next week.
Trading Room
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Charts use Pacific Time
When times are mentioned, it is USA Pacific Time. The E-mini day session charts begin at 6:30 am PT and end at 1:15 pm PT which is 15 minutes after the NYSE closes. You can read background information on the market reports on the Market Update page.



Today formed a small gap up or gap down ?!?
RTH Daily Analysis — 04-09-2026:
E-mini Bulls Press Into Bear Major Swing High After Seventh Consecutive Bull Day
Brad, the second leg up thesis seems right and his point about potentially going sideways for a few days before getting it is the part I want to build on.
AIL, tight bull channel off the April low. Yesterday’s surprise bar got Good FT today with a strong close near the high. The PB BO gap from last week is still open — that’s real strength. Now price is pressing directly into the bear major swing high at 6870-6900 where resistance stacks up: round number, potential channel start from the prior bear leg, previous TR midline, and an HTF 3rd-touch trend line all in a 30-point zone.
Here’s what I’m watching — the structure from roughly 6615 to 6815 is starting to look like a developing TR. Two pushes up after the break of the tight bear channel, big up big down big confusion on the weekly, and the EMA gap is wide with price far above the 20 and 60. Brad’s call about going sideways for a few days before the second leg lines up with what I’m seeing structurally — this could be the market building a range between the April low support zone at 6600 and 6900 resistance before deciding on the next real move. If 6900 caps the upside and we get a PB into the 6700-6725 zone without breaking the structure, that’s could be the potential TR taking shape.
Fair value hasn’t shifted despite two straight bull days — price keeps pushing but accepted value isn’t following. That usually resolves with a pullback, which fits the sideways-first thesis.
Levels:
6870-6900 — confluent resistance (bear major swing high, round number, channel start, TR midline)
6725 — 50% PB + 3rd-touch bull trend line support
6700 — round number support
6660 — BO point + FVG fill
6950 — MM target if bulls break through clean
I agree with Brad that any selloff is probably minor — too many bull bars to expect a full reversal. The question is whether we get the second leg straight to 6900+ or build a range first. I’d rather buy the PB at 6700-6725 than chase up here into the resistance wall.
Anyone else seeing a potential range developing, or is this move just going straight through 6900?
Fantastic! Thank u