Trading Update: Thursday January 11, 2024
S&P Emini pre-open market analysis
Emini daily chart
- The Emini formed a bull bar yesterday, creating a small second leg up for the bulls.
- The market is getting close to the December 28th high and will probably try and form a double top with its highs.
- The bears are hopeful that the double top with the December 28th high will be successful and lead to a bear breakout below the neckline (January low) and a measured move down.
- The March 2022 high is not far away and, therefore, will likely be a magnet that the market will have difficulty escaping. This means a possible double top might form, and the market will have to test closer to the March 2022 high.
- Overall, the market is in a trading range, and the bulls will probably be disappointed over the next day or two as the market tests closer to the high of the trading range.
Emini 5-minute chart and what to expect today
- Emini is down 2 points in the overnight Globex session.
- The Globex market formed an outside down breakout bar during the 8:30 AM PT report. The bears failed to get strong follow-through, and the market reversed up.
- The market will probably open with little to no gap today.
- As always, traders should expect a trading range open and the market to go sideways for the first 6-12 bars on the open.
- Most traders should try to catch the opening swing that often begins before the end of the second hour after the formation of a double top/bottom or a wedge top/bottom.
- Traders should be mindful that today will probably have a lot of trading range price action.
Yesterday’s Emini setups
Al created the SP500 Emini charts.
Here are reasonable stop entry setups from yesterday. I show each buy entry bar with a green arrow and each sell entry bar with a red arrow. Buyers of both the Brooks Trading Course and Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns have access to a near 4-year library of more detailed explanations of swing trade setups (see Online Course/BTC Daily Setups). Encyclopedia members get current daily charts added to Encyclopedia.
My goal with these charts is to present an Always In perspective. If a trader was trying to be Always In or nearly Always In a position all day, and he was not currently in the market, these entries would be logical times for him to enter. These therefore are swing entries.
It is important to understand that most swing setups do not lead to swing trades. As soon as traders are disappointed, many exit. Those who exit prefer to get out with a small profit (scalp), but often have to exit with a small loss.
If the risk is too big for your account, you should wait for trades with less risk or trade an alternative market like the Micro Emini.
EURUSD Forex market trading strategies
EURUSD Forex daily chart
- The EURUSD is continuing to go sideways in a tight trading range.
- The bears will see the six-bar tight trading range as a bear flag. Next, the bears want a second leg down following the January 3rd bear breakout and test of the December low.
- The bulls want an upside breakout and test of the December high close.
- It is important to realize that the market is in a trading range and the probability is close to 50% for both the bulls and bears.
Summary of today’s S&P Emini price action
Al created the SP500 Emini charts.
See the weekly update for a discussion of the price action on the weekly chart and for what to expect going into next week.
Trading Room
Al Brooks and other presenters talk about the detailed Emini price action real-time each day in the BrooksPriceAction.com trading room days. We offer a 2 day free trial.
Charts use Pacific Time
When times are mentioned, it is USA Pacific Time. The Emini day session charts begin at 6:30 am PT and end at 1:15 pm PT which is 15 minutes after the NYSE closes. You can read background information on the market reports on the Market Update page.
