I will not post today. My daughter asked me to spend the day with her to attend her classes at the Harvard Business School, which I am hoping will be fun. I will be back on Wednesday. See the weekly update for a discussion of the weekly chart and for what to expect going into […]
Intraday market update, April 6, 2015:
Intraday market update, April 2, 2015:
Bull channel testing the bull trendline
Posted 7:00 a.m. The bulls had a breakout above yesterday’s trading range and strong follow-through. This reaffirms the always in long condition. The breakout is big enough so the there probably will be buyers below for at least one more leg up. With so much time spent sideways over the past week, this breakout might […]
Intraday market update, April 1, 2015:
Bear trend channel within a trading range
I will post around 7:03 a.m. The Emini had a strong bear breakout on the open and is always in short. However, this is climactic selling and the market is far below the moving average. The stop is far away so the risk has increased. The computers have to reduce their risk and this means […]
Intraday market update, March 31, 2015:
Monthly sell signal bar
Posted 6:56 a.m. The bulls tried for an opening reversal at the 60 minute moving average and the bears wanted a breakout pull back short below yesterday’s low. Instead, the day began with a limit order market in the middle of the month’s range. Traders learning how to trade the markets need to be patient […]
Intraday market update, March 30, 2015:
Trading range and in breakout mode
Posted 6:50 a.m. The Emini opened with a big gap up and a bull breakout, and continued the always in long rally from early Friday. The bears need either a trading range to generate selling pressure or a parabolic wedge top. There is no evidence of either yet. Until then, bulls will swing and scalp, […]
Intraday market update, March 27, 2015:
Double bottom and a double top
Posted 6:57 a.m. I will here for only the first 2 hours today, but I will be home on Monday and will be here all day again. The Emini opened with a tight trading range within yesterday’s 5 hour trading range. It is in breakout mode. There have been many breakouts over the past 5 […]
Intraday market update, March 26, 2015:
Sell climax in a bear trend
Poster 6:49 a.m. Yesterday’s low tested the bottom of the wedge channel that began on March 18. The FOMC rally was the 2nd leg up in the wedge. Traders learning to trade the markets know that wedge trend reversals typically have at least 2 legs down, and the first leg often ends at the bottom […]
Intraday market update, March 25, 2015:
Bear trend day
I am traveling today and was unable to post, but I will post tomorrow, Thursday, and Friday. The Emini sold off strongly today and is deciding whether the 20% correction has begun, or instead if it is forming a triangle on the daily chart for one more new high before the correction begins. The month […]
Intraday market update, March 24, 2015:
Trading range after a buy climax
Posted 7:00 a.m. I am only here for the first 2 hours today, Thursday, and Friday, and I will not be here tomorrow, Wednesday. Yesterday was a bear reversal day on the daily chart and a sell setup for a lower high major trend reversal. When the Emini traded below yesterday’s low, it triggered the […]
Intraday market update, March 23, 2015:
Trading range after a strong breakout
I will post around 6:53 a.m. The Emini opened with 3 consecutive strong bull bars and therefore was always in long. It is also reversing up from a wedge bull flag at the end of Friday. Friday’s rally was strong enough to have follow-through today. However, if it does, this could result in a wedge […]