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The two charts below has the opening bar circled in red. On one Al does not mark as a trade and the other is marked as a really good trade with the blue box around it. These seem to be the same trade. I have seen other examples of Al buying or selling the opening bar above and below the moving average, so that does not seem to be a factor in the decision.
Anyone know what determines a trade on the opening bar?
I think Al is mostly consistent with his markings, but not perfectly consistent. I do sometimes see what appears to be exactly the same opening situation, with one marked and the other not, but for the most part he is consistent I would say. With that said, the two examples you showed are not the same. You need to factor in gap size and relative location. First one is no gap and could be a late leg when combined with yesterday's action, 2nd one is a gap down and FBO of LOY with room back to EMA. In general Al is more likely to mark reversals at the open than to mark continuations (i.e. gap up and reversal down is more likely to be marked in the first few bars than a gap up and continuation up).
